W1 · Morning Brief
07:30
40%
5 Items
Result
Fixed
07:30
Paderborn 1:0 Fürth (Matchday 23). Obermair 58'. Workmanlike win gegen Fürth — Obermair scored with the only real highlight. Paderborn stays in the promotion zone.
Match Stats
Fixed
07:30
Paderborn 1:0 Fürth — Match Statistics:
55.2%
Possession SCP
5 : 2
Shots on Target
13 : 7
Total Shots
6 : 2
Corners
Mood
Variable
08:03
Satisfaction with the win. Kwasniok football works — Paderborn in the promotion zone. Fans dream of promotion.
Form
Fixed
07:30
Saison: 11-5-6, 38 Punkte aus 23 Spielen. Last 5 Liga: W L W W D. Torbilanz: 38:26. Heimtabelle Platz 2. — away position 8..
Table
Fixed
07:30
Platz 4 (relegation spot) — 2 points behind Hannover (3.). Promotion via playoff realistic. Ulm away as a chance to stay in touch.
Home / Away
Fixed
07:30
Paderborn AUSWÄRTS 25/26
Table: 8.
Ulm HEIM 25/26
Table: —
H2H
Fixed
07:30
Direktvergleich Bundesliga (8 games): Paderborn 3S 2U 3N, Goals 12:11. First Half: Paderborn 2:0 Ulm (Matchday 9, 22.11.2025).
H2H Last 5
Fixed
07:30
22.11.25Paderborn 2:0 UlmSObermair, Muslija
11.05.25Ulm 1:1 PaderbornU
08.12.24Paderborn 1:0 UlmS
24.03.24Ulm 2:1 PaderbornN
22.10.23Paderborn 0:1 UlmN
Last 5: Paderborn 2S 1U 2N · 1× in 5 auswärts in Ulm
Key Stats
Fixed
07:30
58'
Obermair-Wintreffer vs Fürth
38:26
Starke Torbilanz
38
Punkte — relegation spot
1.73
Punkte/Spiel
Paderborn all competitions 25/26: 12S 6U 7N, 42:30 Goals (25 games). Surprise team of the 2. Bundesliga.
Early Odds
Fixed
07:30
Ulm vs Paderborn (Sat 28.02.) — Opening odds:
Ulm
3.00
31.7%
Unentsch.
3.20
29.7%
Paderborn
2.30
41.3%
Oracle
Fixed
07:30
Oracle 3-Source Comparison · Ulm vs Paderborn:
| Quelle | Ulm | Unentsch. | Paderborn | Vol / Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | — | — | — | ⏳ ~Di/Mi |
| Polymarket | — | — | — | — |
| Kalshi | — | — | — | ⏳ ~Mi/Do |
⚠️ Liquidity: THIN — Polymarket-Volumen —. Pinnacle-Closing-Line ab ~Mittwoch als Wahrheitsreferenz.
Delta Check: Not available — only 1 of 3 sources live. Oracle table complete from ~Wed 25.02.
Season Markets
Fixed
07:30
Season market context: Paderborn: No prediction market. Promotion via playoff would be sensational.
W2 · Midday Update
12:30
25%
—
Preview
12:30
H2H am Standort, Gegner-Saisonprofil, Verletzungsstatus nach Training, Sperr-Check (Gelbe Karten). —.
W3 · Evening Brief
17:30
25%
2 Items planned
Preview
17:30
Pinnacle opening odds (if available), Polymarket/Kalshi update, key metric, Remaining schedule next 5 opponents. 2 Items planned.
W4 · Night Signal
21:00
10%
—
Preview
21:00
CL-/Relegations-Mathematik, Value Signal (C+ Paywall). —.
Publishing · Monday (MD+2)
TIER 3 · 5 ITEMS
W1
07:30
Morning Brief · 40% ▸
W212:30Midday Update · 25%
W317:30Evening Brief · 25%
W421:00Night Signal · 10%
Split: 4 Fixed (80%) · 1 Variable (20%) · 0 Signal
Last Match · Matchday 23
Paderborn — Fürth
Fürth
Sat 22.02. · 13:00 · Home Deluxe Arena · 15.000
⚽ Obermair 58'
Next Match · Matchday 24
THIN
Ulm
15. · 22 Pts
5-7-10
vs
Paderborn
4. · 38 Pts
11-5-6
🏟 Donaustadion
📅 Sat 28.02.
⏰ 13:00
Oracle · 3-Quellen-Status
PINNACLE · Wahrheitsreferenz
⏳ Linie erwartet ~Di/Wed 25.02.
POLYMARKET · Prediction Market
Ulm
—
Unentsch.
—
Paderborn
—
Volume: —
KALSHI · CFTC-reguliert
⏳ Markt erwartet ~Mi/Thu 26.02.
DELTA-CHECK: Not available (1/3 sources live)
Value Signal: Available from 3-source comparison ~Wed 25.02.
Value Signal: Available from 3-source comparison ~Wed 25.02.
Value Signal · Thresholds
C+ PREMIER
| <3pp | No Signal | Märkte im Einklang |
| 3–5pp | 👁️ Watch | Watch |
| 5–10pp | ⚡ Trade | C+ Paywall |
| >10pp | 🔥 Strong | C+ Paywall |
| Arb | 🔒 Arb | C+ Paywall |
Preview Stats · Matchday 24
| Paderborn | Ulm | |
|---|---|---|
| Tabellenplatz | 4. | 15. |
| Punkte | 38 | 22 |
| Bilanz | 11-5-6 | 5-7-10 |
| Goals | 38:26 | 22:34 |
| Form (5) | SNSSU | NUNSN |
| Home/Away | A: 8. | H: — |
| Frühquote | 3.00 | 2.30 |
| Wahrsch. | 31.7% | 41.3% |
| Liquidität | THIN — Poly | |
API-Football · Polymarket · Sky · 23.02.2026
Squad Status
- Aus Muslija muscle injury
API-Football · kicker.de · FotMob · 23.02.2026
Manager · Lukas Kwasniok
"Drei Punkte sind drei Punkte. Nicht schön, aber effektiv."
Sky · 22.02.2026
Data Pipeline · Sources
API-Football
Stats, Table, Form
Football-Data
H2H, Backup
Odds API
Pinnacle Lines
Polymarket
Match + Season
Kalshi
CFTC-reguliert
kicker.de
Squad, press conf, quotes
Neue Westfälische
Mood, Transfer
ZERO HALLUCINATION · Nur API-Daten · Keine Fakten aus LLM-Wissen